In a comprehensive new report titled Gambling Under the Radar – An Examination of the Effectiveness of Swedish Gambling Policy, Swedish gaming operator ATG sheds light on the growing concern over the rise of unlicensed gambling in Sweden. The report focuses on developments since the implementation of the regulated market in January 2019, highlighting that traffic to unlicensed gambling sites has surged significantly in the past five and a half years.
According to ATG, the Swedish government’s initial goal for the regulated market was to achieve a 90% channeling rate, meaning that most of the country’s gambling would be conducted through licensed operators. However, the report reveals that this target has fallen short. Estimates suggest that between 14% and 29% of gambling in Sweden is now taking place on unlicensed platforms, a figure far from the government’s optimistic projections of a 91% channeling rate in 2023.
ATG’s CEO, Hasse Lord Skarplöth, expressed surprise at the Swedish government’s claims regarding channeling rates, particularly given that previous assessments have been criticized for relying on questionable methodologies. The ATG analysis found that the share of unlicensed gambling remains alarmingly high, with Swedish traffic to unlicensed platforms rising steeply since the market’s re-regulation.
In response to the growing concerns, ATG took the initiative in 2022 by developing a web traffic analysis tool capable of accurately tracking Swedish visits to unlicensed gambling websites. Based on this data, ATG estimates that the turnover on these unlicensed sites is significant, and the increase in traffic is concerning for the regulated market.